Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-27

CHC @ STL

Home plate: Clint Vondrak

Down the middle. Both dugouts had the same zone.

A
Umpire Grade
95.2% accurate
0.7
Run Favor
runs, STL
3
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Clint Vondrak called the 165 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 157 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Miguel Amaya — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Jordan Walker — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Miguel Amaya — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Miguel Amaya — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Carson Kelly — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.234 · 0-2 strike called ball
    José Fermín vs David Peterson
  2. 2-0.208 · 2-1 ball called strike
    Pete Crow-Armstrong vs Hunter Dobbins
  3. 3-0.197 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Michael Busch vs Hunter Dobbins

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Miguel Amaya — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Jordan Walker — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Miguel Amaya — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Miguel Amaya — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  5. 5Carson Kelly — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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