Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-28

CLE @ CIN

Home plate: Mike Estabrook

The zone kept its promises.

B
Umpire Grade
92.4% accurate
0.8
Run Favor
runs, CIN
4
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Mike Estabrook called the 132 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 122 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Nathaniel Lowe — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Jose Trevino — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Jose Trevino — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Jose Trevino — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Austin Hedges — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.393 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Elly De La Cruz vs Gavin Williams
  2. 2-0.208 · 2-1 ball called strike
    Jose Trevino vs Daniel Espino
  3. 3+0.191 · 2-0 strike called ball
    JJ Bleday vs Gavin Williams

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Nathaniel Lowe — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Jose Trevino — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Jose Trevino — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Jose Trevino — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  5. 5Austin Hedges — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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