Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record

MLB · P · Cleveland Guardians

Gavin Williams

B/T L/R · 6' 6" · 250 lb · born Fayetteville, NC, USA · age 27 · draft 2021 rd 1 · played P 27 · MLB debut 2023-06-21

Last 14 days (through 2026-08-28): 3 G · 11.1 IP · 9.53 ERA · 19 SO · 2.21 WHIP

632 batters faced scored this season His season card →

INDEXThe Index — tracked, not flagged

A moment

Gavin Williams' immaculate inningGavin Williams struck out the side on nine pitches. Only two of them were in the strike zone. Read it →

On the record · career milestone this season

500 career strikeouts Tue, Jul 28 · night game vs. Cincinnati Reds The scorecard → · The write-up →

The card rack

FlagshipGavin Williams [Gold] #254 · 2026 Topps · 92 recent sales 7N 3%

$1.46Raw$12.38PSA 9$36.75PSA 10$48.00BGS 10PSA 10 · 45 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-08-28 · paid links

See all on eBay →

The rookieGavin Williams #RC-GW · 2024 Topps Holiday Relic · 32 recent sales 7N 0.2%

$2.68Raw$13.71PSA 9$39.09PSA 10$51.00BGS 10PSA 10 · 45 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-08-28 · paid links

See all on eBay →

Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases. · Flagship = his most-traded card (the market’s reference); the rookie = the top card of his first card year. As of August 28, 2026 · trend is FVR's own nightly archive · prices via SportsCardsPro · what these terms mean

Scout’s note

An even 2.6 WAR and 204 strikeouts across 156 innings, and still no board flag. The stuff model is stability-tested but not outcome-validated, so the grade waits — even for a first-round arm out of Fayetteville who has fanned 537 in 90 big-league games. Williams cleared the ERA-FIP luck gap, and the regression call sits in our hand-filed stack. At 27, the strikeouts rank third in the sport. The page is here because the player matters; the board grade waits for the science.

We wrote about Williams hereThe Overnight: 500 career strikeouts (July 28, 2026) · 7.0 IP, 0 ER, 11 K, 0 BB (July 23, 2026) · 8.0 IP, 0 ER, 11 K, 0 BB (May 22, 2026)

Current signals

The read: Williams is in the Index ungraded, on purpose: our stuff model is stability-tested but not outcome-validated, so no big-league arm gets a board flag from it — not even one of the best seasons in the sport. (Calls are another matter: the ERA-FIP luck gap did clear the bar, and we file arm regression calls by hand from it.) The page is here because the player matters; the board grade waits for the science.

A second set of books

The same contract, read by MLB Spreadsheets (Ethan Hullihen), as of . We keep two sources on this because one source cannot check itself.

Tax AAV
$0.82M
Term
1 yr
His class
Pre-Arb

What the sheet prices each season at

Season2026202720282029
SalaryMinimumArb 1Arb 2Arb 3

A base salary under his own reading, and never subtracted from the cash figure above: a signing bonus lands in one and not the other, so the two disagree on most men without either being wrong. And the sheet does not mark which future seasons are GUARANTEED — a club option and a projected arbitration award are both just a number here, so read past the end of the deal as his forecast rather than as money owed.

Two sources, read a month apart, put this guarantee at the same dollar. That is the check, and it passed.

The tax AAV above is his number under the CBA’s own rulebook, not the average we work out from Cot’s total. On a contract with deferred money the two come apart on purpose — and neither is subtracted from the other.

Collect Gavin Williams

If the signal is right, the cardboard usually finds out later. Current listings:

Gavin Williams cards on eBay →

High-end listings ($75+) →

Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases.

Not financial advice. We take positions only after publication — never before. Misses stay on the record.

The Bureau on Gavin Williams

The scouting press, in their own words

Gavin Williams is physical. Put on an absolute show in BP. Classic Oregon catcher recruit. Like the swing. Coming off TJ so plenty of development to come over the next year. https://t.co/FytJJccYks

Nate Rasmussen · Over-Slot · August 8 · on X →

Stellar outing for Gavin Williams tonight: 7 IP, 0 R, 11 K 🔥 Unfortunately the Guardians ultimately lost the game, 3-1, thanks in part to a strong showing from his counterpart Taj Bradley. https://t.co/PKtgy1PSsz

Prospects Live · Prospects Live · July 23 · on X →

Umpire favor

+1.1 net runs over 25 graded gamesthe zone was kind to him on balance.

Biggest swings: -1.1 · +0.8

→ all umpire grades

The line

YearTeamLvlGIPW–LSVERASOWHIP
2023Cleveland GuardiansMLB1682.03503.29811.26
2024Cleveland GuardiansMLB1676.031004.86791.37
2025Cleveland GuardiansMLB31167.212503.061731.27
2026Cleveland GuardiansMLB27156.012703.982041.12
MLB CAREER90481.2302703.685371.24

Bio & season lines: MLB StatsAPI · refreshed nightly · abbreviations →