Gavin Williams

A moment

Gavin Williams' immaculate inning — Gavin Williams struck out the side on nine pitches. Only two of them were in the strike zone. Read it →

On the record · career milestone this season

500 career strikeouts — Tue, Jul 28 · night game vs. Cincinnati Reds The scorecard → · The write-up →

The card rack

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FlagshipGavin Williams [Gold] #254 · 2026 Topps · 68 recent sales 7N ▲0%

$1.46Raw$12.24PSA 9$36.25PSA 10$47.00BGS 10PSA 10 · 60 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-10-12 · paid links

$1.25Ungraded$1.99Ungraded$1.99Ungraded

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The rookieGavin Williams #RC-GW · 2024 Topps Holiday Relic · 35 recent sales 7N ▲1.6%

$2.79Raw$14.09PSA 9$39.88PSA 10$52.00BGS 10PSA 10 · 60 nights

Live on eBay now · asking, not sold · as of 2026-10-12 · paid links

$1.39Ungraded$2.65Ungraded$2.99Ungraded

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Paid link — as an eBay Partner, FVR earns from qualifying purchases. · Flagship = his most-traded card (the market’s reference); the rookie = the top card of his first card year. As of October 12, 2026 · trend is FVR's own nightly archive · prices via SportsCardsPro · what these terms mean

Scout’s note

Williams, 27, from Fayetteville, North Carolina, was a 2021 first-rounder who debuted two years later and has 581 strikeouts in just 95 MLB games. This season for Cleveland: 248 strikeouts — second in baseball — and a 3.76 ERA over 184.1 innings. He's Index-ungraded by design: the stuff model is stability-tested but not outcome-validated, so no arm earns a board flag from it. The ERA-FIP luck gap cleared the bar, and regression calls come by hand. The page is here because a 27-year-old with 581 Ks in 95 games matters; the grade waits for the science.

Note written Oct 7 · FVR scout (GLM-5.2)

Current signals

The read: Williams is in the Index ungraded, on purpose: our stuff model is stability-tested but not outcome-validated, so no big-league arm gets a board flag from it — not even one of the best seasons in the sport. (Calls are another matter: the ERA-FIP luck gap did clear the bar, and we file arm regression calls by hand from it.) The page is here because the player matters; the board grade waits for the science.

WAR (season · MLB calc)

3.5

A market fact, not an engine read: what a club decided about him, on the season before this one. Figures from Cot’s, as of January 17, 2025.

2026 salary

$4.10M

Tax hit

$4.10M

Service time

3 yr 103 d

Options left

3 / 3

Cash and the tax hit are two different rulebooks and are never subtracted from one another — see the payroll board for his club, Cleveland Guardians.

A second set of books

The same contract, read by MLB Spreadsheets (Ethan Hullihen), as of September 17, 2026. We keep two sources on this because one source cannot check itself.

Tax AAV

$0.82M

Guaranteed

$0.82M

Term

1 yr

His class

Pre-Arb

The tax AAV above is his number under the CBA’s own rulebook, not the average we work out from Cot’s total. On a contract with deferred money the two come apart on purpose — and neither is subtracted from the other.

The Wire

▲ On the field: Gavin Williams reached 10th and 11th strikeouts through 5 innings.

X chatter, trailing 2 days · as of 2026-10-12 · newest post 2026-10-11 · summarized by Grok (xAI) · how this works →

Collect Gavin Williams

If the signal is right, the cardboard usually finds out later. Current listings:

High-end listings ($75+) →

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Not financial advice. We take positions only after publication — never before. Misses stay on the record.

The Bureau on Gavin Williams

The scouting press, in their own words