Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
Support the paperGet the Digest
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-28

SEA @ CLE

Home plate: Nate Tomlinson

“The zone stretched its legs.”

B+
Umpire Grade
93.2% accurate
0.8
Run Favor
runs, CLE
4
ABS Overturns
of 7 reviewed

What this shows — how Nate Tomlinson called the 177 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 165 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Mitch Garver — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Cal Raleigh — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Cal Raleigh — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Mitch Garver — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Patrick Bailey — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Mitch Garver — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).6Challenge 7: Patrick Bailey — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).7
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.69▼8 · 3-2 strike called ball
    Cooper Ingle vs Michael Rucker
  2. 2-0.13▲4 · 1-1 ball called strike
    Mitch Garver vs Gavin Williams
  3. 3-0.13▼1 · 1-0 ball called strike
    Kyle Manzardo vs Emerson Hancock

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

7 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Mitch Garver — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Cal Raleigh — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Cal Raleigh — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Mitch Garver — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  5. 5Patrick Bailey — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  6. 6Mitch Garver — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  7. 7Patrick Bailey — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 7 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.