Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-28

SEA @ CLE

Home plate: Nate Tomlinson

One side pitched to a slightly bigger plate.

C+
Umpire Grade
91.0% accurate
2.6
Run Favor
runs, CLE
4
ABS Overturns
of 7 reviewed

What this shows — how Nate Tomlinson called the 177 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 161 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Mitch Garver — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Cal Raleigh — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Cal Raleigh — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Mitch Garver — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Patrick Bailey — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Mitch Garver — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).6Challenge 7: Patrick Bailey — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).7
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.693 · 3-2 ball called strike· challenged
    Cal Raleigh vs Gavin Williams
  2. 2+0.694 · 3-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Cooper Ingle vs Emerson Hancock
  3. 3+0.698 · 3-2 strike called ball
    Cooper Ingle vs Michael Rucker

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

7 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Mitch Garver — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Cal Raleigh — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Cal Raleigh — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Mitch Garver — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Patrick Bailey — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  6. 6Mitch Garver — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  7. 7Patrick Bailey — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 7 of 7 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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