Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-29

TOR @ WSH

Home plate: Lance Barksdale

Tonight's zone had a rooting interest.

B+
Umpire Grade
93.2% accurate
1.5
Run Favor
runs, WSH
2
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Lance Barksdale called the 162 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 151 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Alejandro Kirk — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Alejandro Kirk — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Harry Ford — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Alejandro Kirk — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Harry Ford — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.698 · 3-2 strike called ball
    José Tena vs Tyler Rogers
  2. 2+0.213 · 3-0 strike called ball
    James Wood vs Trey Yesavage
  3. 3-0.135 · 1-1 ball called strike
    Yohendrick Piñango vs Zack Littell

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Alejandro Kirk — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Alejandro Kirk — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Harry Ford — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Alejandro Kirk — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Harry Ford — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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