Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-30

CHC @ STL

Home plate: Tyler Jones

If umpiring had a highlight reel, this wouldn't make it. That's the compliment.

A
Umpire Grade
96.5% accurate
0.0
Run Favor
runs, CHC
2
ABS Overturns
of 2 reviewed

What this shows — how Tyler Jones called the 174 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 168 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Carson Kelly — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Pete Crow-Armstrong — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.137 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Pete Crow-Armstrong vs George Soriano
  2. 2+0.106 · 0-1 strike called ball
    Ian Happ vs Andre Pallante
  3. 3+0.108 · 0-1 strike called ball
    Iván Herrera vs Gavin Hollowell

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

2 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 0 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Carson Kelly — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Pete Crow-Armstrong — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 0 of 2 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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