Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-30

SEA @ LAD

Home plate: Nic Lentz

“Tonight's zone had a rooting interest.”

D
Umpire Grade
89.0% accurate
1.2
Run Favor
runs, SEA
4
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Nic Lentz called the 163 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 145 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Dalton Rushing — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Tommy Edman — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Cal Raleigh — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Mookie Betts — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Cal Raleigh — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Josh Naylor — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.69▼1 · 3-2 ball called strike· challenged ✓
    Tommy Edman vs Bryan Woo
  2. 2-0.39▼6 · 2-2 ball called strike· challenged ✓
    Mookie Betts vs Alex Hoppe
  3. 3+0.23▲1 · 0-2 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Dominic Canzone vs Roki Sasaki

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Dalton Rushing — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Tommy Edman — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Cal Raleigh — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Mookie Betts — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  5. 5Cal Raleigh — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  6. 6Josh Naylor — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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