Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-01

KC @ COL

Home plate: Vic Carapazza

One side pitched to a slightly bigger plate.

C+
Umpire Grade
90.5% accurate
1.0
Run Favor
runs, COL
4
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Vic Carapazza called the 148 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 134 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Salvador Perez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Kyle Karros — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Carter Jensen — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Cole Carrigg — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Hunter Goodman — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.238 · 0-2 strike called ball
    TJ Rumfield vs Lucas Erceg
  2. 2+0.193 · 2-0 strike called ball
    Willi Castro vs Luinder Avila
  3. 3+0.198 · 2-0 strike called ball
    Cole Carrigg vs Lucas Erceg

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Salvador Perez — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Kyle Karros — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Carter Jensen — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Cole Carrigg — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Hunter Goodman — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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