Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-01

NYY @ CHC

Home plate: Ron Kulpa

If it was close, it was a strike. The hitters noticed.

C
Umpire Grade
89.9% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, NYY
3
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Ron Kulpa called the 158 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 142 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Max Schuemann — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Ali Sánchez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Nico Hoerner — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Alex Bregman — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Angel Chivilli — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Carson Kelly — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.396 · 2-2 ball called strike
    Pete Crow-Armstrong vs Max Fried
  2. 2+0.281 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Pete Crow-Armstrong vs Max Fried
  3. 3-0.217 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Seiya Suzuki vs Brent Headrick

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Max Schuemann — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Ali Sánchez — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Nico Hoerner — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Alex Bregman — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Angel Chivilli — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  6. 6Carson Kelly — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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