Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 15 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-01

PIT @ CIN

Home plate: Dexter Kelley

“A workmanlike night — nothing to frame, nothing to fix.”

B+
Umpire Grade
93.3% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, CIN
4
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Dexter Kelley called the 164 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 153 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Jake Mangum — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Marcell Ozuna — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Rafael Flores Jr. — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Jose Trevino — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Jose Trevino — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Jared Triolo — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.19▲1 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Jake Mangum vs Andrew Abbott
  2. 2-0.19▲7 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Nick Gonzales vs Sam Moll
  3. 3+0.10▲6 · 0-1 strike called ball
    Marcell Ozuna vs Zach McCambley

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Jake Mangum — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Marcell Ozuna — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Rafael Flores Jr. — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  4. 4Jose Trevino — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  5. 5Jose Trevino — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  6. 6Jared Triolo — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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