Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-03

LAD @ CHC

Home plate: Chris Segal

A workmanlike night — nothing to frame, nothing to fix.

B-
Umpire Grade
92.0% accurate
0.4
Run Favor
runs, CHC
4
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Chris Segal called the 149 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 137 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Nico Hoerner — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Teoscar Hernández — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Carson Kelly — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Carson Kelly — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Carson Kelly — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.236 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Carson Kelly vs Tanner Scott
  2. 2+0.213 · 3-0 strike called ball· challenged
    Nico Hoerner vs Justin Wrobleski
  3. 3-0.216 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Ian Happ vs Edgardo Henriquez

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Nico Hoerner — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Teoscar Hernández — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Carson Kelly — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Carson Kelly — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Carson Kelly — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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