Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-05

TOR @ HOU

Home plate: Mike Muchlinski

You had to throw it down Broadway to get the call.

C+
Umpire Grade
90.1% accurate
0.3
Run Favor
runs, TOR
2
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Mike Muchlinski called the 162 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 146 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Yainer Diaz — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Brandon Valenzuela — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Brandon Valenzuela — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.205 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Josh Smith vs Hunter Brown
  2. 2-0.206 · 2-1 ball called strike
    LaMonte Wade Jr. vs Spencer Miles
  3. 3-0.191 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Yordan Alvarez vs Jameson Taillon

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Yainer Diaz — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Brandon Valenzuela — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Brandon Valenzuela — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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