Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-06

TOR @ CHC

Home plate: Chris Segal

Generous with the corners — the pitchers said thank you.

B+
Umpire Grade
93.5% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, CHC
3
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Chris Segal called the 170 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 159 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Alejandro Kirk — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Ernie Clement — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Seiya Suzuki — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Michael Busch — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Alejandro Kirk — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Pedro Ramírez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.301 · 3-1 ball called strike
    Kazuma Okamoto vs David Peterson
  2. 2-0.1910 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Nathan Lukes vs Caleb Thielbar
  3. 3-0.132 · 1-1 ball called strike
    Alex Bregman vs Dylan Cease

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Alejandro Kirk — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Ernie Clement — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Seiya Suzuki — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Michael Busch — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  5. 5Alejandro Kirk — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  6. 6Pedro Ramírez — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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