Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-08

MIN @ MIL

Home plate: Chad Fairchild

A steady night's work behind the plate.

A
Umpire Grade
96.1% accurate
0.7
Run Favor
runs, MIL
1
ABS Overturns
of 2 reviewed

What this shows — how Chad Fairchild called the 155 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 149 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: William Contreras — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Luke Keaschall — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.195 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Josh Bell vs Robert Gasser
  2. 2-0.102 · 0-1 ball called strike
    Luke Keaschall vs Robert Gasser
  3. 3+0.103 · 0-1 strike called ball
    Jake Bauers vs Taj Bradley

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

2 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1William Contreras — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Luke Keaschall — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 0 of 2 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

Paste the link anywhere — the card previews on its own. Or take it with you.

Post on X