Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-10

TB @ ATH

Home plate: Quinn Wolcott

The plate grew a few inches after the first pitch.

B-
Umpire Grade
91.4% accurate
0.6
Run Favor
runs, ATH
3
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Quinn Wolcott called the 140 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 128 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Jacob Lopez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Nick Fortes — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Jonathan Aranda — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Jonah Heim — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.391 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Tyler Soderstrom vs Freddy Peralta
  2. 2-0.238 · 0-2 ball called strike· challenged
    Liam Hicks vs José Suarez
  3. 3-0.191 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Carlos Cortes vs Freddy Peralta

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Jacob Lopez — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Nick Fortes — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Jonathan Aranda — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Jonah Heim — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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