Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-12

TB @ ATH

Home plate: Adrian Johnson

The zone had wings tonight.

B+
Umpire Grade
93.2% accurate
0.0
Run Favor
runs, TB
4
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Adrian Johnson called the 133 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 124 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Liam Hicks — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Liam Hicks — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Brian Serven — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Liam Hicks — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Liam Hicks — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Liam Hicks — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.209 · 2-1 ball called strike
    Victor Mesa Jr. vs Seth Johnson
  2. 2-0.136 · 1-0 ball called strike
    Max Muncy vs Steven Matz
  3. 3-0.091 · 0-0 ball called strike
    Jonathan Aranda vs Jack Perkins

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Liam Hicks — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Liam Hicks — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Brian Serven — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Liam Hicks — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  5. 5Liam Hicks — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  6. 6Liam Hicks — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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