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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-14

NYY @ TOR

Home plate: Vic Carapazza

The kind of night where the umpire is the least of the story.

A
Umpire Grade
95.4% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, NYY
4
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Vic Carapazza called the 130 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 124 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: George Springer — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Alejandro Kirk — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Austin Wells — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Ryan McMahon — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.205 · 2-1 ball called strike
    Kazuma Okamoto vs Gerrit Cole
  2. 2-0.135 · 1-0 ball called strike
    Ryan McMahon vs Shane Bieber
  3. 3+0.102 · 0-1 strike called ball
    Jazz Chisholm Jr. vs Shane Bieber

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 0 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1George Springer — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Alejandro Kirk — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Austin Wells — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Ryan McMahon — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 0 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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