Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-14

SEA @ HOU

Home plate: Alex MacKay

A steady night's work behind the plate.

A-
Umpire Grade
94.0% accurate
0.0
Run Favor
runs, SEA
2
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Alex MacKay called the 185 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 174 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: George Kirby — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Jose Altuve — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Christian Vázquez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Christian Vázquez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Brendan Donovan — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.235 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Isaac Paredes vs George Kirby
  2. 2+0.195 · 2-0 strike called ball
    Randy Arozarena vs Peter Lambert
  3. 3-0.137 · 1-1 ball called strike
    Cole Young vs Steven Okert

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1George Kirby — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Jose Altuve — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Christian Vázquez — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Christian Vázquez — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Brendan Donovan — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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