Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-14

TEX @ ATH

Home plate: Mike Estabrook

The black wasn't in play tonight.

B
Umpire Grade
92.2% accurate
0.3
Run Favor
runs, ATH
3
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Mike Estabrook called the 180 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 166 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Jake Burger — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Elias Díaz — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Elias Díaz — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Jonah Heim — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Elias Díaz — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Hogan Harris — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.396 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Cody Freeman vs Luis Medina
  2. 2+0.305 · 3-1 strike called ball
    Tyler Soderstrom vs Kumar Rocker
  3. 3+0.211 · 3-0 strike called ball· challenged
    Jake Burger vs Gage Jump

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Jake Burger — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Elias Díaz — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Elias Díaz — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Jonah Heim — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Elias Díaz — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  6. 6Hogan Harris — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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