Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-15

PHI @ MIN

Home plate: Alex Tosi

Nothing that'll trend, and on this beat that's a compliment.

A
Umpire Grade
95.2% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, PHI
4
ABS Overturns
of 7 reviewed

What this shows — how Alex Tosi called the 168 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 160 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: J.T. Realmuto — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Ryan Jeffers — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Bryce Harper — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Kyle Schwarber — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Bryce Harper — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).5Challenge 6: Kaelen Culpepper — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).6Challenge 7: Garrett Stubbs — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).7
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.195 · 2-0 strike called ball· challenged
    Bryce Harper vs Connor Prielipp
  2. 2+0.136 · 1-1 strike called ball· challenged
    Bryce Harper vs Kody Funderburk
  3. 3-0.102 · 0-1 ball called strike
    Ryan Kreidler vs Jesús Luzardo

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

7 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1J.T. Realmuto — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Ryan Jeffers — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Bryce Harper — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Kyle Schwarber — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  5. 5Bryce Harper — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  6. 6Kaelen Culpepper — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  7. 7Garrett Stubbs — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 7 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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