Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-15

STL @ CHC

Home plate: Mark Wegner

Reliable as a Tuesday: no complaints, no headlines.

A
Umpire Grade
95.5% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, CHC
3
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Mark Wegner called the 156 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 149 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Miguel Amaya — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Nico Hoerner — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Everson Pereira — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Miguel Amaya — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.091 · 0-0 ball called strike
    Jordan Walker vs Matthew Boyd
  2. 2-0.091 · 0-0 ball called strike
    Pete Crow-Armstrong vs Michael McGreevy
  3. 3+0.092 · 0-0 strike called ball
    Nico Hoerner vs Michael McGreevy

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Miguel Amaya — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Nico Hoerner — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Everson Pereira — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  4. 4Miguel Amaya — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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