Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-18

AZ @ BOS

Home plate: D.J. Reyburn

Down the middle. Both dugouts had the same zone.

A+
Umpire Grade
97.4% accurate
0.9
Run Favor
runs, BOS
2
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how D.J. Reyburn called the 156 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 152 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Willson Contreras — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Geraldo Perdomo — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: James McCann — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Geraldo Perdomo — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: James McCann — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.694 · 3-2 strike called ball
    Mickey Gasper vs Merrill Kelly
  2. 2+0.205 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Adley Rutschman vs Merrill Kelly
  3. 3-0.106 · 0-1 ball called strike
    Jordan Lawlar vs Tyron Guerrero

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Willson Contreras — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Geraldo Perdomo — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3James McCann — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Geraldo Perdomo — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5James McCann — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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