Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-18

SD @ NYM

Home plate: Laz Diaz

“Two dugouts, and only one of them smiling.”

A-
Umpire Grade
94.2% accurate
1.2
Run Favor
runs, SD
4
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Laz Diaz called the 154 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 145 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Christopher Morel — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: A.J. Ewing — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Fernando Tatis Jr. — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Zac Thornton — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Manny Machado — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.69▼2 · 3-2 ball called strike· challenged ✓
    A.J. Ewing vs Robbie Ray
  2. 2-0.30▼2 · 3-1 ball called strike· challenged ✓
    Christopher Morel vs Robbie Ray
  3. 3-0.28▲3 · 1-2 ball called strike· challenged ✓
    Fernando Tatis Jr. vs Zac Thornton

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 4 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Christopher Morel — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2A.J. Ewing — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Fernando Tatis Jr. — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Zac Thornton — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Manny Machado — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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