Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-25

PIT @ SD

Home plate: Dan Bellino

Down the middle. Both dugouts had the same zone.

A-
Umpire Grade
94.9% accurate
0.6
Run Favor
runs, PIT
3
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Dan Bellino called the 117 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 111 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Luis Campusano — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Manny Machado — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Bryan Reynolds — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Jake Mangum — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Manny Machado — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Rafael Flores Jr. — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.691 · 3-2 strike called ball
    Oneil Cruz vs Michael King
  2. 2+0.139 · 1-1 strike called ball· challenged
    Jake Mangum vs Mason Miller
  3. 3+0.131 · 1-0 strike called ball
    Ty France vs Paul Skenes

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Luis Campusano — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Manny Machado — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Bryan Reynolds — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Jake Mangum — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Manny Machado — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  6. 6Rafael Flores Jr. — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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