Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-26

COL @ WSH

Home plate: Willie Traynor

Off the corner was close enough tonight.

D
Umpire Grade
87.3% accurate
0.7
Run Favor
runs, COL
1
ABS Overturns
of 2 reviewed

What this shows — how Willie Traynor called the 134 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 117 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Hunter Goodman — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Connor Norby — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.301 · 3-1 ball called strike
    CJ Abrams vs Tanner Gordon
  2. 2+0.305 · 3-1 strike called ball
    Willi Castro vs Luis Perales
  3. 3-0.218 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Willi Castro vs Orlando Ribalta

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

2 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Hunter Goodman — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Connor Norby — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 2 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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