Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-27

KC @ TOR

Home plate: Mark Wegner

“An honest evening's grade: nothing loud, nothing missed by much.”

A
Umpire Grade
96.4% accurate
0.6
Run Favor
runs, KC
2
ABS Overturns
of 2 reviewed

What this shows — how Mark Wegner called the 165 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 159 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Myles Straw — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Daz Cameron — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.28▲1 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Bobby Witt Jr. vs Spencer Arrighetti
  2. 2-0.13▼9 · 1-1 ball called strike· challenged ✓
    Daz Cameron vs Anthony Gose
  3. 3+0.09▲2 · 0-0 strike called ball
    Josh Rojas vs Spencer Arrighetti

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

2 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 0 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Myles Straw — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Daz Cameron — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 2 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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