Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-28

LAD @ DET

Home plate: Nestor Ceja

Called a fair game and let the players decide it.

A-
Umpire Grade
94.9% accurate
0.0
Run Favor
runs, DET
0
ABS Overturns
of 2 reviewed

What this shows — how Nestor Ceja called the 156 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 148 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Dillon Dingler — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Spencer Torkelson — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.198 · 2-0 strike called ball
    Hao-Yu Lee vs Brock Stewart
  2. 2+0.137 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Freddie Freeman vs Tyler Holton
  3. 3-0.132 · 1-0 ball called strike
    Spencer Torkelson vs Tarik Skubal

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

2 pitches went to the robots · 0 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Dillon Dingler — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Spencer Torkelson — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 2 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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