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Umpire Grade · Blue Notes

Nestor Ceja

27 games graded behind the plate.

B+
Season Grade
93.8% ± 0.7
0.51
Avg Swing
runs / game
47.3%
ABS Overturns
52/110 calls

3,781 correct of 4,030 graded takes (93.8% ± 0.7, 95%). Best game 97.2% · worst 87.6%. Grade is accuracy on taken pitches vs the rulebook zone; ABS is the Automated Ball-Strike System challenge record (how often the robots overruled the call).

What we can't say about Nestor Ceja

This season is 4,030 graded takes, which puts Nestor Ceja's overall accuracy at 93.8% ± 0.7 (95% interval). That is a real measurement against a league spanning about four points end to end. It is not enough for anything finer, and here is the arithmetic rather than our word for it:

  • how the zone moves with two strikes about 806 takes, so ±1.7 points. (the league-wide two-strike effect is about 1 point in 2026.)
  • any single corner of the zone about 336 takes, so ±2.6 points. (corner cells are where umpires actually differ.)
  • whether one pitcher is called tighter than another about 67 takes, so ±5.8 points. (a given pitcher is worked once or twice a season.)

And a note on the number itself: an accuracy figure is a rate plus a convention for what counts as a miss. Ours grades every taken pitch against the rulebook zone as the feed reports it. Others are more forgiving — UmpScorecards counts a call wrong only when the pitch was at least 90% likely to be a strike — so two sites can print the same percentage about the same umpire and not mean the same thing by it. How the grade is built.

The overturn rate is a different kind of number and does not belong beside the grade: it is accuracy on the 110 pitches players chose to challenge, which are the pitches they already believed were wrong. 110 is enough to print it with its own denominator, which is what we do — but it still ranks umpires by how often they are appealed, not by how often they are right.

The road to the plate

Nestor Ceja, the Second from Mexico

Born in Michoacán and raised in Los Angeles, Ceja worked 253 call-up games to the full-time staff and reached his first postseason in 2024.

The Road Up

Nestor Ceja was born in Michoacán, Mexico, on April 18, 1987, and moved to Los Angeles at age one. He is the second MLB umpire born in Mexico, and umpiring runs in his family through two brothers-in-law who are minor league umpires.

Ceja attended the 2012 MLB Umpire Camp in Compton, California, and graduated from the Minor League Baseball Umpire Training Academy. During a Texas League game on May 26, 2016, Ceja called interference on a baserunner at second, awarded a double play, and ejected San Antonio Missions manager Phillip Wellman, whose tantrum landed on highlight shows. The decision stood.

The Debut

Fellow Mexican umpire Alfonso Marquez was on Ceja's crew for his MLB debut. Ceja made that debut on August 14, 2020, working third base for a Padres-Diamondbacks game at Chase Field. Ceja has credited Marquez as a big part of his development, and the two became close friends.

He worked 253 games as a Triple-A call-up before his promotion to the full-time MLB staff ahead of the 2023 season. He served as right field umpire for the 2024 All-Star Game at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas. Later that year came his first postseason assignment — the National League Wild Card Series, with home plate for Game 1 between the Braves and Padres.

We have graded Ceja behind the plate in 21 games this season, and the record on this page is the reason his name is here.

Reporting: Wikipedia, Baseball-Reference Bullpen, Hispanically Yours, Sports Spectrum. Umpire data: MLB StatsAPI, via the Fever engine.

By the Desk · filed 2026-07-23 — the profile reads as of its filing; the grading record above is live · every fact in this piece comes from a sourced research pack and clears an independent fact-check, and nothing is edited after filing.

The games

GameGradeFavorABSBlue Note
LAD @ DET2026-08-28A-0.0 DET0/2Called a fair game and let the players decide it.
WSH @ NYM2026-08-15B-0.5 NYM0/3The zone stretched its legs.
BOS @ TOR2026-08-11A1.0 BOS2/4A steady night's work behind the plate.
SF @ SD2026-08-01B0.5 SD5/8The players kept asking for a second opinion — and kept getting one.
HOU @ LAA2026-07-28D1.0 HOU1/3Two dugouts, and only one of them smiling.
COL @ MIL2026-07-25B+0.7 COL1/4Nothing that'll trend, and on this beat that's a compliment.
MIN @ CLE2026-07-21B+0.8 MIN2/5Called a fair game and let the players decide it.
SD @ KC2026-07-17B1.3 KC2/5One side pitched to a slightly bigger plate.
NYY @ WSH2026-07-10A-0.5 NYY3/5Reliable as a Tuesday: no complaints, no headlines.
MIL @ AZ2026-07-05B0.7 AZ3/5The zone kept its promises.
LAA @ SEA2026-06-30A0.2 LAA3/5The kind of night where the umpire is the least of the story.
BAL @ LAD2026-06-19A0.2 LAD1/4A steady night's work behind the plate.
TB @ LAA2026-06-14C0.9 TB3/5The zone kept to itself — the hitters said thanks.
CHC @ COL2026-06-10A+0.1 COL1/4If umpiring had a highlight reel, this wouldn't make it. That's the compliment.
CLE @ TEX2026-06-05A0.2 TEX1/2If umpiring had a highlight reel, this wouldn't make it. That's the compliment.
AZ @ SEA2026-05-31A0.3 SEA3/4A workmanlike night — nothing to frame, nothing to fix.
PHI @ SD2026-05-26A0.7 SD2/4The zone kept its promises.
CWS @ SF2026-05-22A0.5 CWS2/6The zone kept its promises.
ATH @ LAA2026-05-18B+0.6 ATH1/3An honest evening's grade: nothing loud, nothing missed by much.
TOR @ TB2026-05-06A0.3 TOR3/4A workmanlike night — nothing to frame, nothing to fix.
LAD @ STL2026-05-02B+0.7 LAD1/2The kind of night where the umpire is the least of the story.
SF @ PHI2026-04-28B+0.0 PHI1/3Borderline went to the battery all night.
TOR @ MIL2026-04-16C0.9 TOR7/8The challenge cart got its steps in.
TEX @ LAD2026-04-11A0.2 LAD1/3You could set a watch by that zone.
HOU @ COL2026-04-06A0.1 COL1/4Quietly excellent. The best umpiring is the kind you forget was there.
NYM @ SF2026-04-02A-0.2 NYM1/2A workmanlike night — nothing to frame, nothing to fix.
TB @ STL2026-03-29A-0.5 TB1/3A steady night's work behind the plate.