Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-02

NYM @ SF

Home plate: Nestor Ceja

“A workmanlike night — nothing to frame, nothing to fix.”

A-
Umpire Grade
94.7% accurate
0.4
Run Favor
runs, SF
1
ABS Overturns
of 2 reviewed

What this shows — how Nestor Ceja called the 152 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 144 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Willy Adames — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Daniel Susac — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.23▲1 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Luis Robert Jr. vs Robbie Ray
  2. 2+0.21▼5 · 3-0 strike called ball
    Daniel Susac vs Sean Manaea
  3. 3-0.19▲3 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Bo Bichette vs Robbie Ray

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

2 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Willy Adames — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Daniel Susac — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 2 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.