Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
Support the paperGet the Digest
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-30

LAA @ SEA

Home plate: Nestor Ceja

“The kind of night where the umpire is the least of the story.”

A
Umpire Grade
96.0% accurate
0.5
Run Favor
runs, LAA
3
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Nestor Ceja called the 149 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 143 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Josh Naylor — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Logan O'Hoppe — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Cal Raleigh — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Logan O'Hoppe — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Wade Meckler — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.69▼4 · 3-2 ball called strike· challenged ✓
    Randy Arozarena vs José Soriano
  2. 2+0.39▼7 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Weston Wilson vs Brent Suter
  3. 3+0.13▼1 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Josh Naylor vs José Soriano

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Josh Naylor — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Logan O'Hoppe — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Cal Raleigh — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Logan O'Hoppe — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  5. 5Wade Meckler — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.