Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-30

LAA @ SEA

Home plate: Nestor Ceja

The kind of night where the umpire is the least of the story.

A
Umpire Grade
95.3% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, LAA
3
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Nestor Ceja called the 149 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 142 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Josh Naylor — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Logan O'Hoppe — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Cal Raleigh — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Logan O'Hoppe — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Wade Meckler — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.696 · 3-2 ball called strike· challenged
    Cal Raleigh vs Chase Silseth
  2. 2+0.397 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Weston Wilson vs Brent Suter
  3. 3+0.286 · 1-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Colt Emerson vs Chase Silseth

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Josh Naylor — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Logan O'Hoppe — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Cal Raleigh — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Logan O'Hoppe — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Wade Meckler — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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