Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-06

TOR @ TB

Home plate: Nestor Ceja

“A workmanlike night — nothing to frame, nothing to fix.”

A+
Umpire Grade
97.5% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, TOR
3
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Nestor Ceja called the 120 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 117 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Ernie Clement — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Nick Fortes — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Nick Fortes — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Nick Fortes — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.28▲8 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Kazuma Okamoto vs Bryan Baker
  2. 2-0.19▲6 · 2-0 ball called strike
    George Springer vs Shane McClanahan
  3. 3-0.09▼5 · 0-0 ball called strike
    Yandy Díaz vs Patrick Corbin

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Ernie Clement — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Nick Fortes — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Nick Fortes — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Nick Fortes — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.