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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-16

TOR @ MIL

Home plate: Nestor Ceja

“The challenge cart got its steps in.”

C
Umpire Grade
89.7% accurate
0.9
Run Favor
runs, TOR
7
ABS Overturns
of 8 reviewed

What this shows — how Nestor Ceja called the 116 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 104 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: William Contreras — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Gary Sánchez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Gary Sánchez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: William Contreras — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: William Contreras — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Tyler Heineman — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).6Challenge 7: Tyler Heineman — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).7Challenge 8: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).8
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.39▲1 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Davis Schneider vs Brandon Sproat
  2. 2+0.20▲1 · 2-1 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Vladimir Guerrero Jr. vs Brandon Sproat
  3. 3+0.19▲7 · 2-0 strike called ball· challenged ✓
    Kazuma Okamoto vs Brandon Sproat

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

8 pitches went to the robots · 7 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1William Contreras — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Gary Sánchez — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Gary Sánchez — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4William Contreras — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5William Contreras — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  6. 6Tyler Heineman — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  7. 7Tyler Heineman — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  8. 8Vladimir Guerrero Jr. — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 7 of 8 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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