Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-31

AZ @ SEA

Home plate: Nestor Ceja

“A workmanlike night — nothing to frame, nothing to fix.”

A+
Umpire Grade
98.4% accurate
0.0
Run Favor
runs, AZ
3
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Nestor Ceja called the 121 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 119 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Ryan Waldschmidt — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Ryan Waldschmidt — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Jhonny Pereda — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Adrian Del Castillo — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.13▲2 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Aramis Garcia vs Bryce Miller
  2. 2+0.13▼3 · 1-0 strike called ball
    Randy Arozarena vs Merrill Kelly

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 1 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Ryan Waldschmidt — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Ryan Waldschmidt — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Jhonny Pereda — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Adrian Del Castillo — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.