Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-06-14

TB @ LAA

Home plate: Nestor Ceja

“The zone kept its promises.”

B-
Umpire Grade
91.5% accurate
0.9
Run Favor
runs, TB
3
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Nestor Ceja called the 165 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 151 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Logan Porter — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Hunter Feduccia — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Hunter Feduccia — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Oswald Peraza — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Oswald Peraza — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.28▲9 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Chandler Simpson vs Ryan Zeferjahn
  2. 2-0.28▼9 · 1-2 ball called strike
    Mike Trout vs Bryan Baker
  3. 3+0.21▼8 · 3-0 strike called ball
    Nick Madrigal vs Craig Kimbrel

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Logan Porter — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Hunter Feduccia — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Hunter Feduccia — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Oswald Peraza — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  5. 5Oswald Peraza — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.