Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-22

CWS @ SF

Home plate: Nestor Ceja

“The zone kept its promises.”

A
Umpire Grade
96.9% accurate
0.5
Run Favor
runs, CWS
2
ABS Overturns
of 6 reviewed

What this shows — how Nestor Ceja called the 161 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 156 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Edgar Quero — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Derek Hill — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Jesus Rodriguez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Edgar Quero — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Jesus Rodriguez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Harrison Bader — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).6
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.69▲6 · 3-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Miguel Vargas vs Erik Miller
  2. 2+0.13▼5 · 1-0 strike called ball· challenged
    Casey Schmitt vs Davis Martin
  3. 3+0.09▼5 · 0-0 strike called ball
    Casey Schmitt vs Davis Martin

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

6 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 4 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Edgar Quero — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Derek Hill — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Jesus Rodriguez — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Edgar Quero — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Jesus Rodriguez — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  6. 6Harrison Bader — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 6 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.