Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-28

SF @ PHI

Home plate: Nestor Ceja

“The kind of night where the umpire is the least of the story.”

B+
Umpire Grade
93.7% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, PHI
1
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Nestor Ceja called the 143 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 134 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Alec Bohm — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Bryson Stott — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Jerar Encarnacion — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.28▼3 · 1-2 ball called strike
    Justin Crawford vs Tyler Mahle
  2. 2+0.13▼7 · 1-0 strike called ball
    Kyle Schwarber vs Blade Tidwell
  3. 3+0.10▼8 · 0-1 strike called ball
    Rafael Marchán vs Blade Tidwell

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Alec Bohm — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  2. 2Bryson Stott — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Jerar Encarnacion — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.