Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-26

PHI @ SD

Home plate: Nestor Ceja

“The zone kept its promises.”

A
Umpire Grade
96.5% accurate
0.4
Run Favor
runs, SD
2
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Nestor Ceja called the 145 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 140 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Bryce Harper — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Adolis García — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Alec Bohm — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: J.T. Realmuto — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.13▲8 · 1-1 ball called strike
    J.T. Realmuto vs Wandy Peralta
  2. 2-0.13▲1 · 1-0 ball called strike
    Kyle Schwarber vs Randy Vásquez
  3. 3+0.13▼1 · 1-0 strike called ball
    Gavin Sheets vs Aaron Nola

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Bryce Harper — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Adolis García — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Alec Bohm — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4J.T. Realmuto — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.