Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-04-11

TEX @ LAD

Home plate: Nestor Ceja

“You could set a watch by that zone.”

A
Umpire Grade
96.8% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, LAD
1
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Nestor Ceja called the 157 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 152 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Kyle Higashioka — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Robert Garcia — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Kyle Higashioka — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.39▼4 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Hyeseong Kim vs Jack Leiter
  2. 2+0.39▲8 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Sam Haggerty vs Tanner Scott
  3. 3+0.13▲2 · 1-0 strike called ball
    Joc Pederson vs Emmet Sheehan

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Kyle Higashioka — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Robert Garcia — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Kyle Higashioka — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.