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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-01

SF @ SD

Home plate: Nestor Ceja

“The players kept asking for a second opinion — and kept getting one.”

A
Umpire Grade
96.2% accurate
0.5
Run Favor
runs, SF
5
ABS Overturns
of 8 reviewed

What this shows — how Nestor Ceja called the 157 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 151 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Daniel Susac — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Daniel Susac — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Christian Koss — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Heliot Ramos — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Manny Machado — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5Challenge 6: Freddy Fermin — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).6Challenge 7: Daniel Susac — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).7Challenge 8: Daniel Susac — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).8
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.39▼5 · 2-2 ball called strike
    Ty France vs Tyler Mahle
  2. 2-0.10▲3 · 0-1 ball called strike
    Daniel Susac vs Walker Buehler
  3. 3-0.10▼6 · 0-1 ball called strike
    Jackson Merrill vs Tyler Mahle

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

8 pitches went to the robots · 5 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Daniel Susac — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Daniel Susac — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Christian Koss — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Heliot Ramos — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Manny Machado — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  6. 6Freddy Fermin — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  7. 7Daniel Susac — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  8. 8Daniel Susac — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 8 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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