Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-05-18

ATH @ LAA

Home plate: Nestor Ceja

“An honest evening's grade: nothing loud, nothing missed by much.”

B+
Umpire Grade
93.9% accurate
0.4
Run Favor
runs, ATH
1
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Nestor Ceja called the 132 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 124 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Logan O'Hoppe — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Brent Rooker — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Zach Neto — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.13▼5 · 1-1 strike called ball
    Josh Lowe vs J.T. Ginn
  2. 2+0.13▲1 · 1-0 strike called ball
    Carlos Cortes vs Walbert Ureña
  3. 3-0.13▼6 · 1-0 ball called strike
    Mike Trout vs J.T. Ginn

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Logan O'Hoppe — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Brent Rooker — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  3. 3Zach Neto — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.