Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-17

SD @ KC

Home plate: Nestor Ceja

“One side pitched to a slightly bigger plate.”

A-
Umpire Grade
94.3% accurate
1.2
Run Favor
runs, KC
2
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Nestor Ceja called the 157 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 148 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Luis Campusano — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Luis Campusano — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Luis Campusano — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Carter Jensen — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Isaac Collins — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.69▲2 · 3-2 ball called strike
    Gavin Sheets vs Seth Lugo
  2. 2+0.28▼2 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Isaac Collins vs Michael King
  3. 3+0.20▼6 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Vinnie Pasquantino vs Bradgley Rodriguez

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Luis Campusano — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Luis Campusano — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Luis Campusano — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Carter Jensen — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  5. 5Isaac Collins — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.