Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-03-29

TB @ STL

Home plate: Nestor Ceja

“A steady night's work behind the plate.”

A
Umpire Grade
95.2% accurate
0.9
Run Favor
runs, TB
1
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Nestor Ceja called the 167 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 159 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Hunter Feduccia — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Pedro Pagés — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Nick Fortes — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.69▲5 · 3-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Chandler Simpson vs Justin Bruihl
  2. 2+0.23▲8 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Jonathan Aranda vs Matt Pushard
  3. 3-0.21▲8 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Carson Williams vs Matt Pushard

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Hunter Feduccia — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Pedro Pagés — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Nick Fortes — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.