Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-02

MIA @ KC

Home plate: Nestor Ceja

“A steady night's work behind the plate.”

A
Umpire Grade
95.4% accurate
0.6
Run Favor
runs, MIA
2
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Nestor Ceja called the 175 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone, or, on a pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge, against its ruling. 167 were right. Below, only the misses are plotted, alongside every challenged pitch.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Kyle Stowers — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Joe Mack — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed). Our tracking puts it on the other side of the line; the grade follows the ruling.2*Challenge 3: Carter Jensen — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled). Our tracking puts it on the other side of the line; the grade follows the ruling.3*Challenge 4: Carter Jensen — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

* Graded on the ABS ruling. ABS measures its own zone, set by the batter’s height and taken at the middle of the plate, and our tracking puts this pitch on the other side of the line.

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.28▼5 · 1-2 ball called strike
    Kyle Isbel vs Cade Gibson
  2. 2+0.23▲2 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Esteury Ruiz vs Noah Cameron
  3. 3+0.20▼5 · 2-1 strike called ball
    John Rave vs Eury Pérez

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 2 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Kyle Stowers — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Joe Mack — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Carter Jensen — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  4. 4Carter Jensen — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone). Where the two disagree, the umpire is graded on the ABS ruling.

Paste the link anywhere — the card previews on its own. Or take it with you.

Post on X