Fever BaseballFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
RECORD: 0 HIT · 0 MISS · 12 OPEN · FIRST CALL RESOLVES AUG 12
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Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-07-05

MIL @ AZ

Home plate: Nestor Ceja

“The zone kept its promises.”

B-
Umpire Grade
92.0% accurate
0.3
Run Favor
runs, AZ
3
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Nestor Ceja called the 174 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 160 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Gary Sánchez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Gary Sánchez — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Gary Sánchez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Ketel Marte — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).4Challenge 5: Gary Sánchez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.39▼9 · 2-2 strike called ball· challenged
    Ketel Marte vs Trevor Megill
  2. 2-0.28▲4 · 1-2 ball called strike
    Andrew Vaughn vs Eduardo Rodriguez
  3. 3+0.28▲7 · 1-2 strike called ball
    Garrett Mitchell vs Kevin Ginkel

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is Hawkeye ground truth, no model involved.

  1. 1Gary Sánchez — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Gary Sánchez — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Gary Sánchez — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Ketel Marte — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  5. 5Gary Sánchez — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.