Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-28

PIT @ STL

Home plate: Nick Mahrley

Generous with the corners — the pitchers said thank you.

B
Umpire Grade
92.9% accurate
0.2
Run Favor
runs, PIT
1
ABS Overturns
of 1 reviewed

What this shows — how Nick Mahrley called the 140 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 130 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Henry Davis — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.131 · 1-1 strike called ball
    JJ Wetherholt vs Jared Jones
  2. 2-0.133 · 1-1 ball called strike
    Jimmy Crooks vs Jared Jones
  3. 3-0.138 · 1-1 ball called strike
    Nolan Gorman vs Yohan Ramírez

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

1 pitch went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 0 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Henry Davis — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 1 of 1 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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