Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-29

BOS @ NYY

Home plate: Nic Lentz

The black wasn't in play tonight.

C
Umpire Grade
89.6% accurate
0.5
Run Favor
runs, NYY
1
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Nic Lentz called the 154 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 138 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Austin Wells — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Connor Wong — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Brayan Bello — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.391 · 2-2 ball called strike
    Wilyer Abreu vs Max Fried
  2. 2+0.395 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Ben Rice vs Brayan Bello
  3. 3-0.397 · 2-2 ball called strike
    Trent Grisham vs Raymond Burgos

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Austin Wells — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  2. 2Connor Wong — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Brayan Bello — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 2 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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