Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-08-31

PHI @ AZ

Home plate: Mike Muchlinski

If it was close, it was a strike. The hitters noticed.

B-
Umpire Grade
91.0% accurate
0.6
Run Favor
runs, AZ
3
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Mike Muchlinski called the 178 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 162 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Gabriel Moreno — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Alec Bohm — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Trea Turner — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).3Challenge 4: Garrett Stubbs — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Ildemaro Vargas — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.204 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Lars Nootbaar vs Aaron Nola
  2. 2-0.206 · 2-1 ball called strike
    Bryson Stott vs Brandon Pfaadt
  3. 3-0.193 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Corbin Carroll vs Aaron Nola

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 3 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Gabriel Moreno — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Alec Bohm — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  3. 3Trea Turner — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  4. 4Garrett Stubbs — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  5. 5Ildemaro Vargas — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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