Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-02

ATH @ TEX

Home plate: Nic Lentz

Textbook top to bottom — a quiet masterclass.

A
Umpire Grade
96.4% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, ATH
1
ABS Overturns
of 3 reviewed

What this shows — how Nic Lentz called the 167 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone. He got 161 right. Below, only his misses are plotted, alongside every pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Jake Burger — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: Brian Serven — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Brandon Nimmo — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.392 · 2-2 strike called ball
    Alika Williams vs Cody Bradford
  2. 2-0.219 · 3-0 ball called strike
    Brian Serven vs Ben Peoples
  3. 3+0.132 · 1-0 strike called ball· challenged
    Elias Díaz vs Jacob Lopez

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

3 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 2 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Jake Burger — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2Brian Serven — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Brandon Nimmo — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 3 of 3 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone), not our error.

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