Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-04

AZ @ HOU

Home plate: Chris Segal

“Nothing that'll trend, and on this beat that's a compliment.”

B+
Umpire Grade
93.9% accurate
0.1
Run Favor
runs, HOU
1
ABS Overturns
of 4 reviewed

What this shows — how Chris Segal called the 131 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone, or, on a pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge, against its ruling. 123 were right. Below, only the misses are plotted, alongside every challenged pitch.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Ryan Waldschmidt — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled ball (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).1Challenge 2: Yainer Diaz — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).2Challenge 3: Yainer Diaz — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Justin Martinez — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled ball (upheld — ump confirmed).4
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1-0.23▲5 · 0-2 ball called strike· challenged ✓
    Ryan Waldschmidt vs Cristian Javier
  2. 2+0.13▲4 · 1-0 strike called ball
    Nolan Arenado vs Cristian Javier
  3. 3-0.13▼7 · 1-0 ball called strike
    Cam Smith vs Justin Martinez

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

4 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 3 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Ryan Waldschmidt — ump said strike, robot ruled ball: overturned.
  2. 2Yainer Diaz — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  3. 3Yainer Diaz — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.
  4. 4Justin Martinez — ump said ball, robot ruled ball: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 4 of 4 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone). Where the two disagree, the umpire is graded on the ABS ruling.

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