Fever BaseballFor collectors and stat nerdsFuture Value Radar (FVR) · On the record
Blue Notes · Umpire Grade2026-09-08

HOU @ PHI

Home plate: Dan Iassogna

“The zone kept its promises.”

A
Umpire Grade
95.4% accurate
0.4
Run Favor
runs, HOU
1
ABS Overturns
of 5 reviewed

What this shows — how Dan Iassogna called the 153 pitches that were taken (no swing), graded against the tracked rulebook strike zone, or, on a pitch the ABS (Automated Ball-Strike System) reviewed on a challenge, against its ruling. 146 were right. Below, only the misses are plotted, alongside every challenged pitch.

The zone, as he called it

Challenge 1: Taylor Trammell — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).1Challenge 2: J.T. Realmuto — the ump called it a ball, the robot ruled strike (OVERTURNED — ump overruled).2Challenge 3: Cam Smith — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).3Challenge 4: Kyle Schwarber — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).4Challenge 5: Alec Bohm — the ump called it a strike, the robot ruled strike (upheld — ump confirmed).5
strike called ballball called strikeABS overturnedABS upheld

The calls that moved the game

  1. 1+0.23▲1 · 0-2 strike called ball
    Jose Altuve vs Andrew Painter
  2. 2+0.20▲8 · 2-1 strike called ball
    Yordan Alvarez vs Chase Shugart
  3. 3-0.19▲9 · 2-0 ball called strike
    Isaac Paredes vs José Alvarado

Run impact from the count run-value table: a missed strike three is worth far more than one on 3-0.

ABS — the Automated Ball-Strike System

5 pitches went to the robots · 1 overturned (ump overruled) · 4 upheld (ump confirmed). This is the ABS system’s own measurement — Hawk-Eye optical ball-tracking, not our model.

  1. 1Taylor Trammell — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  2. 2J.T. Realmuto — ump said ball, robot ruled strike: overturned.
  3. 3Cam Smith — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  4. 4Kyle Schwarber — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.
  5. 5Alec Bohm — ump said strike, robot ruled strike: upheld.

Our tracked-rulebook zone matched the ABS ruling on 5 of 5 — a zone-definition gap (ABS grades a standardized, height-based zone). Where the two disagree, the umpire is graded on the ABS ruling.

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